Rank | Last Week | Change | Team | Expected Wins | Actual Record |
1 | 1 | - | Indianapolis Colts | 14.6 | 7-0 |
2 | 3 | +1 | New Orleans Saints | 14.1 | 7-0 |
3 | 5 | +2 | Minnesota Vikings | 12.3 | 7-1 |
4 | 2 | -2 | Denver Broncos | 12.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 4 | -1 | New England Patriots | 12.1 | 5-2 |
6 | 10 | +4 | Philadelphia Eagles | 11.3 | 5-2 |
7 | 11 | +4 | Dallas Cowboys | 11.1 | 5-2 |
8 | 9 | +1 | Cincinnati Bengals | 10.7 | 5-2 |
9 | 8 | -1 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 10.7 | 5-2 |
10 | 15 | +5 | Baltimore Ravens | 10.0 | 4-3 |
11 | 6 | -5 | Green Bay Packers | 9.9 | 4-3 |
12 | 16 | +4 | Houston Texans | 9.7 | 5-3 |
13 | 7 | -6 | New York Giants | 9.6 | 5-3 |
14 | 17 | +3 | San Diego Chargers | 9.2 | 4-3 |
15 | 12 | -3 | Atlanta Falcons | 9.1 | 4-3 |
16 | 14 | -2 | New York Jets | 9.1 | 4-4 |
17 | 13 | -4 | Arizona Cardinals | 8.9 | 4-3 |
18 | 19 | +1 | Chicago Bears | 8.8 | 4-3 |
19 | 18 | -1 | San Francisco 49ers | 7.6 | 3-4 |
20 | 23 | +3 | Miami Dolphins | 7.4 | 3-4 |
21 | 25 | +4 | Carolina Panthers | 6.4 | 3-4 |
22 | 20 | -2 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6.3 | 3-4 |
23 | 21 | -2 | Seattle Seahawks | 5.9 | 2-5 |
24 | 22 | -2 | Buffalo Bills | 5.8 | 3-5 |
25 | 24 | -1 | Washington Redskins | 5.3 | 2-5 |
26 | 26 | - | Kansas City Chiefs | 3.2 | 1-6 |
27 | 27 | - | Oakland Raiders | 3.0 | 2-6 |
28 | 28 | - | Detroit Lions | 3.0 | 1-6 |
29 | 31 | +2 | Tennessee Titans | 3.0 | 1-6 |
30 | 29 | -1 | Cleveland Browns | 2.0 | 1-7 |
31 | 32 | +1 | St. Louis Rams | 1.9 | 1-7 |
32 | 30 | -2 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.5 | 0-7 |
Good to see two of the three winless teams get their first wins of the season. Now it just creates a logjam at the one win teams. Being a Bucs fan myself, it hurts to see them as the lone winless team. Then again, I lived through the craptastic teams of the 80s and 90s.
My sleeper pick for this year is the Houston Texans. I think they have built a good-looking team. I don't think they are just there yet but it won't be long before they start challenging the top teams of the NFL.
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