| Rank | Team | Expected Wins | Actual Record |
| 1) | Denver Broncos | 14.7 | 5-0 |
| 2) | New Orleans Saints | 14.6 | 4-0 |
| 3) | New York Giants | 14.6 | 5-0 |
| 4) | Indianapolis Colts | 14.3 | 5-0 |
| 5) | Minnesota Vikings | 14 | 5-0 |
| 6) | Atlanta Falcons | 11.8 | 3-1 |
| 7) | Philadelphia Eagles | 11.5 | 3-1 |
| 8) | Chicago Bears | 11.2 | 3-1 |
| 9) | Cincinnati Bengals | 10.9 | 4-1 |
| 10) | Baltimore Ravens | 10.2 | 3-2 |
| 11) | Dallas Cowboys | 9.7 | 3-2 |
| 12) | Pittsburgh Steelers | 9.4 | 3-2 |
| 13) | New York Jets | 9.3 | 3-2 |
| 14) | San Francisco 49ers | 9.3 | 3-2 |
| 15) | New England Patriots | 9.3 | 3-2 |
| 16) | Seattle Seahawks | 8.5 | 2-3 |
| 17) | Green Bay Packers | 8.4 | 2-2 |
| 18) | San Diego Chargers | 8 | 2-2 |
| 19) | Arizona Cardinals | 7.8 | 2-2 |
| 20) | Miami Dolphins | 7.4 | 2-3 |
| 21) | Houston Texans | 7 | 2-3 |
| 22) | Washington Redskins | 6.7 | 2-3 |
| 23) | Jacksonville Jaguars | 6.1 | 2-3 |
| 24) | Buffalo Bills | 4 | 1-4 |
| 25) | Detroit Lions | 3.9 | 1-4 |
| 26) | Carolina Panthers | 3.8 | 1-3 |
| 27) | Cleveland Browns | 3 | 1-4 |
| 28) | Oakland Raiders | 2.6 | 1-4 |
| 29) | Kansas City Chiefs | 2.2 | 0-5 |
| 30) | Tennessee Titans | 2.1 | 0-5 |
| 31) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.5 | 0-5 |
| 32) | St. Louis Rams | 0.4 | 0-5 |
The Expected Wins is a combination of a team's current record and its Pythagorean record. I'll explain it in more detail in the future.
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