Rank | Last Week | Change | Team | Expected Wins | Actual Record |
1 | 4 | +3 | San Francisco 49ers | 13.0 | 9-3 |
2 | 3 | +1 | Baltimore Ravens | 12.8 | 9-3 |
3 | 2 | -1 | Dallas Cowboys | 12.8 | 9-3 |
4 | 6 | +2 | Miami Dolphins | 12.1 | 9-3 |
5 | 1 | -4 | Philadelphia Eagles | 11.9 | 10-2 |
6 | 7 | +1 | Detroit Lions | 11.2 | 9-3 |
7 | 5 | -2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 11.1 | 8-4 |
8 | 8 | - | Jacksonville Jaguars | 10.3 | 8-4 |
9 | 10 | +1 | Buffalo Bills | 10.0 | 6-6 |
10 | 11 | +1 | Houston Texans | 9.7 | 7-5 |
11 | 9 | -2 | Cleveland Browns | 9.4 | 7-5 |
12 | 13 | +1 | Indianapolis Colts | 9.3 | 7-5 |
13 | 14 | +1 | Minnesota Vikings | 8.9 | 6-6 |
14 | 18 | +4 | Green Bay Packers | 8.8 | 6-6 |
15 | 19 | +4 | Los Angeles Rams | 8.7 | 6-6 |
16 | 12 | -4 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | 7-5 |
17 | 20 | +3 | Atlanta Falcons | 8.2 | 6-6 |
18 | 21 | +3 | Cincinnati Bengals | 8.1 | 6-6 |
19 | 22 | +3 | Los Angeles Chargers | 8.1 | 5-7 |
20 | 15 | -5 | Seattle Seahawks | 8.1 | 6-6 |
21 | 16 | -5 | Denver Broncos | 7.9 | 6-6 |
22 | 17 | -5 | New Orleans Saints | 7.8 | 5-7 |
23 | 23 | - | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.6 | 5-7 |
24 | 24 | - | Las Vegas Raiders | 6.8 | 5-7 |
25 | 25 | - | Tennessee Titans | 6.3 | 4-8 |
26 | 26 | - | Chicago Bears | 6.2 | 4-8 |
27 | 27 | - | New York Jets | 5.5 | 4-8 |
28 | 28 | - | Washington Commanders | 5.2 | 4-9 |
29 | 29 | - | New York Giants | 4.8 | 4-8 |
30 | 30 | - | Arizona Cardinals | 4.7 | 3-10 |
31 | 31 | - | New England Patriots | 3.6 | 2-10 |
32 | 32 | - | Carolina Panthers | 3.0 | 1-11 |
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